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not an independent border trigger under the own-history policy.","provisional":true,"evidence":{"office":"governor","currentYear":2026,"baselineYear":2022,"currentDemocratVotes":4335,"currentRepublicanVotes":5533,"priorDemocratVotes":2052,"priorRepublicanVotes":6134,"democratCountChange":2283,"republicanCountChange":-601,"democratCountChangePercent":111.25731,"republicanCountChangePercent":-9.797848,"currentDemocratTwoPartyShare":43.929874,"priorDemocratTwoPartyShare":25.067188,"democratShareChangePp":18.862686,"republicanShareChangePp":-18.862686,"peer":{"peerCount":66,"peerMedian":7.572989,"peerMad":1.482974,"distancePp":11.289697,"modifiedZ":5.134885,"scoreBasis":"0.6745 × (value − peer median) / peer MAD","outside":true},"currentSource":{"electionDate":null,"sourceUpdatedAt":null,"asOf":"2026-11-06T18:04:16.299477+00:00","asOfBasis":"retrieval time; state download does not provide a source-wide count timestamp","sourceTimestampBasis":null,"retrievedAt":"2026-11-06T18:04:16.299477+00:00","fetchedAt":"2026-11-06T18:04:16.299477+00:00","snapshotAsOf":"2026-11-06T18:04:16.299477+00:00","sourceId":"modern-official-fl-2026","sourceSelection":{"bundle":"modern-counties","url":"/data/modern-counties/governor-2026.json","priority":40},"provisional":true,"unofficial":true,"countingStatus":"counting","resultStatus":"unofficial"},"priorSource":{"electionDate":null,"sourceUpdatedAt":null,"asOf":null,"asOfBasis":null,"sourceTimestampBasis":null,"retrievedAt":null,"fetchedAt":null,"snapshotAsOf":null,"sourceId":"modern-medsl-governor-2022-fl","sourceSelection":{"bundle":"modern-counties","url":"/data/modern-counties/governor-2022.json","priority":40},"provisional":false,"unofficial":false,"countingStatus":null,"resultStatus":null},"seatId":null},"sources":[{"sourceId":"modern-official-fl-2026","title":"Florida Division of Elections direct Nov3 2026 unofficial county returns","url":"https://flelectionfiles.floridados.gov/enightfilespublic/20261103_ElecResultsFL.txt","retrievedAt":"2026-11-06T18:04:16.299477+00:00"},{"sourceId":"modern-medsl-governor-2022-fl","title":"MEDSL 2022 FL official precinct returns","url":"https://raw.githubusercontent.com/MEDSL/2022-elections-official/a8126c5790b8d1f438a3e63c3506cdcdc7406d9f/individual_states/2022-fl-local-precinct-general.zip"},{"title":"NIST/SEMATECH: exploratory outlier screening (modified z score)","url":"https://itl.nist.gov/div898/handbook/eda/section3/eda35h.htm"}]}]},"partyGrowth":{"status":"assessed","flags":[{"id":"governor-symmetric-party-growth","label":"Unusual Democratic vote-count growth with ordinary opposing growth","description":"Provisional review: Democrat counts increased at least 25% and 100 votes, at least 25 percentage points above same-state peer growth, with modified z >3.5 (MAD-zero absolute guard). Opposing-party growth is within |z|≤2, or within 10pp of its peer median when MAD=0. 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candidate votes are not substituted."},"offices":{"president":{"status":"not-assessed","reason":"No 2026 presidential election; office-specific shift screen not applicable.","shareShift":{"status":"not-assessed","flags":[],"reason":"No 2026 presidential election; office-specific shift screen not applicable."},"partyGrowth":{"status":"not-assessed","flags":[],"reason":"No 2026 presidential election; office-specific shift screen not applicable."},"reviewScreens":{"partyCountChange":{"status":"not-assessed","flags":[],"reason":"No 2026 presidential election; office-specific shift screen not applicable."},"raceVoteChange":{"status":"not-assessed","flags":[],"reason":"No 2026 presidential election; office-specific shift screen not applicable."},"racePopulationChange":{"status":"not-assessed","flags":[],"reason":"No 2026 presidential election; office-specific shift screen not applicable."},"shareSwing":{"status":"not-assessed","flags":[],"reason":"No 2026 presidential election; office-specific shift screen not applicable."}},"flags":[]},"senate":{"status":"not-assessed","reason":"No imported 2026 county contest for this office.","shareShift":{"status":"not-assessed","flags":[],"reason":"No imported 2026 county contest for this office."},"partyGrowth":{"status":"not-assessed","flags":[],"reason":"No imported 2026 county contest for this office."},"reviewScreens":{"partyCountChange":{"status":"not-assessed","flags":[],"reason":"No imported 2026 county contest for this office."},"raceVoteChange":{"status":"not-assessed","flags":[],"reason":"No imported 2026 county contest for this office."},"racePopulationChange":{"status":"not-assessed","flags":[],"reason":"No imported 2026 county contest for this office."},"shareSwing":{"status":"not-assessed","flags":[],"reason":"No imported 2026 county contest for this office."}},"flags":[]},"house":{"status":"not-assessed","reason":"Complete comparable county-district coverage and county identity are not established; 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candidate votes are not substituted.":3084}},"offices":{"president":{"assessed":0,"notAssessed":3142,"flagged":0,"reasons":{"No 2026 presidential election; office-specific shift screen not applicable.":3142}},"senate":{"assessed":873,"notAssessed":2269,"flagged":661,"reasons":{"No imported 2026 county contest for this office.":1572,"A unique regular current county contest is not established.":155,"Georgia/Louisiana 2020 Senate ballot-round comparability is not established.":223,"Source quality hold or inconsistent totals.":301,"Two-party minimum of 500 each year or 100 votes for each prior party not met.":4,"Both explicitly identified Democratic and Republican candidates are required; Other votes are not reassigned.":14}},"house":{"assessed":67,"notAssessed":3075,"flagged":19,"reasons":{"No imported 2026 county contest for this office.":1374,"Complete comparable county-district coverage and county identity are not established; no district allocation is inferred.":1697,"Two-party minimum of 500 each year or 100 votes for each prior party not met.":4}},"governor":{"assessed":1080,"notAssessed":2062,"flagged":495,"reasons":{"No imported 2026 county contest for this office.":1912,"Two-party minimum of 500 each year or 100 votes for each prior party not met.":14,"Both explicitly identified Democratic and Republican candidates are required; Other votes are not reassigned.":1,"Source quality hold or inconsistent totals.":121,"Unitemized candidates or unclassified/missing reporting categories prevent a qualified party comparison.":13,"A unique matching regular 2022 county contest is unavailable.":1}}},"shareShift":{"president":{"assessed":0,"notAssessed":3142,"flagged":0,"reasons":{"No 2026 presidential election; office-specific shift screen not applicable.":3142}},"senate":{"assessed":642,"notAssessed":2500,"flagged":1,"reasons":{"No imported 2026 county contest for this office.":1572,"A unique regular current county contest is not established.":155,"Georgia/Louisiana 2020 Senate ballot-round comparability is not established.":223,"Source quality hold or inconsistent totals.":301,"Fewer than 10 other eligible same-state comparable-contest peers; own-history screens remain eligible.":5,"Both explicitly identified Democratic and Republican candidates are required; Other votes are not reassigned.":235,"Two-party minimum of 500 each year or 100 votes for each prior party not met.":9}},"house":{"assessed":57,"notAssessed":3085,"flagged":3,"reasons":{"No imported 2026 county contest for this office.":1374,"Complete comparable county-district coverage and county identity are not established; no district allocation is inferred.":1697,"Two-party minimum of 500 each year or 100 votes for each prior party not met.":14}},"governor":{"assessed":1047,"notAssessed":2095,"flagged":6,"reasons":{"No imported 2026 county contest for this office.":1912,"Two-party minimum of 500 each year or 100 votes for each prior party not met.":43,"Both explicitly identified Democratic and Republican candidates are required; Other votes are not reassigned.":1,"Fewer than 10 other eligible same-state comparable-contest peers; own-history screens remain eligible.":4,"Source quality hold or inconsistent totals.":121,"Unitemized candidates or unclassified/missing reporting categories prevent a qualified party comparison.":13,"A unique matching regular 2022 county contest is unavailable.":1}}},"partyGrowth":{"president":{"assessed":0,"notAssessed":3142,"flagged":0,"reasons":{"No 2026 presidential election; office-specific shift screen not applicable.":3142}},"senate":{"assessed":642,"notAssessed":2500,"flagged":1,"reasons":{"No imported 2026 county contest for this office.":1572,"A unique regular current county contest is not established.":155,"Georgia/Louisiana 2020 Senate ballot-round comparability is not established.":223,"Source quality hold or inconsistent totals.":301,"Fewer than 10 other eligible same-state comparable-contest growth peers.":5,"Both explicitly identified Democratic and Republican candidates are required; Other votes are not reassigned.":235,"Two-party minimum of 500 each year or 100 votes for each prior party not met.":9}},"house":{"assessed":57,"notAssessed":3085,"flagged":2,"reasons":{"No imported 2026 county contest for this office.":1374,"Complete comparable county-district coverage and county identity are not established; no district allocation is inferred.":1697,"Two-party minimum of 500 each year or 100 votes for each prior party not met.":14}},"governor":{"assessed":1047,"notAssessed":2095,"flagged":13,"reasons":{"No imported 2026 county contest for this office.":1912,"Two-party minimum of 500 each year or 100 votes for each prior party not met.":43,"Both explicitly identified Democratic and Republican candidates are required; Other votes are not reassigned.":1,"Fewer than 10 other eligible same-state comparable-contest growth peers.":4,"Source quality hold or inconsistent totals.":121,"Unitemized candidates or unclassified/missing reporting categories prevent a qualified party comparison.":13,"A unique matching regular 2022 county contest is unavailable.":1}}},"reviewScreens":{"partyCountChange":{"president":{"assessed":0,"notAssessed":3142,"flagged":0,"reasons":{"No 2026 presidential election; 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Other votes are not reassigned.":1,"Source quality hold or inconsistent totals.":121,"Unitemized candidates or unclassified/missing reporting categories prevent a qualified party comparison.":13,"A unique matching regular 2022 county contest is unavailable.":1}}},"raceVoteChange":{"president":{"assessed":0,"notAssessed":3142,"flagged":0,"reasons":{"No 2026 presidential election; office-specific shift screen not applicable.":3142}},"senate":{"assessed":873,"notAssessed":2269,"flagged":11,"reasons":{"No imported 2026 county contest for this office.":1572,"A unique regular current county contest is not established.":155,"Georgia/Louisiana 2020 Senate ballot-round comparability is not established.":223,"Source quality hold or inconsistent totals.":301,"Fewer than 500 reported candidate/write-in race votes in either year.":18}},"house":{"assessed":67,"notAssessed":3075,"flagged":0,"reasons":{"No imported 2026 county contest for this office.":1374,"Complete comparable county-district coverage and county identity are not established; 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